L’École des cotes

Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Crewe Alexandra 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 27.42%3.65cote équitable
EV -0.462%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%27.24%27.51%28.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.6331.25%29.33%29.41%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.47%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -4.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.21%46.53%46.38%48.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.11%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.11%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.270%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%26.24%26.11%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.8232.26%28.68%28.57%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -0.462%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -16.46%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -13.56%E -7.29%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -14.03%E -7.58%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:47
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -14.96%E -8.17%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -6.22%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.793%E -0.209%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:58
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.31%E -5.34%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.77%E -5.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.07%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -0.270%E -0.071%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.63%E -6.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.45%E -4.29%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%4.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%4.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%4.9%2026-04-18 14:00