A Escola das Odds

Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Crewe Alexandra 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Previsão 27.42%3.65odd justa
EV -0.462%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.18%27.24%27.51%28.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.6331.25%29.33%29.41%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 46.47%2.15odd justa
EV -4.73%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -4.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.21%46.53%46.38%48.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.11%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.11%3.83odd justa
EV -0.270%
Vantagem -0.071%
Kelly -0.096%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.59%26.24%26.11%28.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.493.503.8232.26%28.68%28.57%26.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -0.462%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -16.46%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -13.56%E -7.29%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -14.03%E -7.58%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:47
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -14.96%E -8.17%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -6.22%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:58
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.793%E -0.209%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:58
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.31%E -5.34%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.77%E -5.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.07%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -0.270%E -0.071%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.63%E -6.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.45%E -4.29%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%4.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%4.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%4.9%2026-04-18 14:00