Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Cambridge United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 13.96%7.17fair odd
EV +4.66%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.718%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.51%13.96%14.09%15.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.566.507.5016.67%15.25%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cambridge United (Visit)
Prediction 63.99%1.56fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -8.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.27%63.94%63.91%66.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5073.53%69.01%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.05%4.53fair odd
EV +4.75%
Edge +0.999%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%22.11%22.01%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.124.104.7527.78%24.28%24.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 13.96%; Cambridge United (Visit): 63.99%; Draw: 22.05%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +4.75%E +0.999%K +1.27%G +0.060% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -0.767%E -0.170%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.30%EV -7.62%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.42%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -1.87%E -0.420%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -4.07%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.33%EV -3.01%E -0.433%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.26%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.97%E -9.54%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.03%EV -13.06%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.68%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +4.66%E +0.622%K +0.718%G +0.033% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.48%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -5.80%E -0.860%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.54%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -20.61%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |