La escuela de los momios

Crewe Alexandra v Cambridge United

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Crewe Alexandra 0–0 Cambridge United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Predicción 13.96%7.17momio equitativo
EV +4.66%
Ventaja +0.622%
Kelly +0.718%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.51%13.96%14.09%15.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.566.507.5016.67%15.25%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Predicción 63.99%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -8.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.27%63.94%63.91%66.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5073.53%69.01%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.05%4.53momio equitativo
EV +4.75%
Ventaja +0.999%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%22.11%22.01%24.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.104.7527.78%24.28%24.39%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +4.75%E +0.999%K +1.27%G +0.060%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -0.767%E -0.170%K -0.219%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle6.62I 15.11%NM 14.30%EV -7.62%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.42%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -1.87%E -0.420%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 12:05
Tipico (DE)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -4.07%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:00
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.33%EV -3.01%E -0.433%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.26%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:40
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.97%E -9.54%K -36.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet6.23I 16.05%NM 15.03%EV -13.06%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.68%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:15
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:15
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +4.66%E +0.622%K +0.718%G +0.033%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:00
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:14
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:15
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 07:15
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 07:15
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.48%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:06
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:00
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 10:00
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -5.80%E -0.860%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.54%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 00:00
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -20.61%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-05-02 13:45