L’École des cotes

Crewe Alexandra v Cambridge United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Crewe Alexandra 0–0 Cambridge United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 13.96%7.17cote équitable
EV +4.66%
Avantage +0.622%
Kelly +0.718%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.51%13.96%14.09%15.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.566.507.5016.67%15.25%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cambridge United (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.99%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -8.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.27%63.94%63.91%66.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5073.53%69.01%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.05%4.53cote équitable
EV +4.75%
Avantage +0.999%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.52%22.11%22.01%24.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.124.104.7527.78%24.28%24.39%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +4.75%E +0.999%K +1.27%G +0.060%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -0.767%E -0.170%K -0.219%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle6.62I 15.11%NM 14.30%EV -7.62%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.42%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -1.87%E -0.420%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 12:05
Tipico (DE)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -2.97%E -0.675%K -0.874%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -4.07%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:00
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:54
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.33%EV -3.01%E -0.433%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.26%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:40
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.97%E -9.54%K -36.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet6.23I 16.05%NM 15.03%EV -13.06%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.68%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:15
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:15
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +4.66%E +0.622%K +0.718%G +0.033%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:00
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:14
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV +3.27%E +0.442%K +0.511%G +0.017%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -4.01%E -2.67%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:15
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.18%E +0.162%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 07:15
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.29%E -3.57%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 07:15
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.48%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:06
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.38%EV -10.69%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.61%EV -5.93%E -4.03%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:00
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.31%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.49%E -5.94%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:00
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 10:00
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -5.80%E -0.860%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -9.13%E -6.43%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.27%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.45%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.57%E -4.50%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.78%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.54%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -12.90%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 00:00
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -5.10%E -0.751%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.21%E -4.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -9.29%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.41%E -7.44%K -26.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -20.61%E -5.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-05-02 13:45