Language:English
Crawley Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.47%24.71%24.72%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.00%50.45%50.46%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.831.8856.50%54.31%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.85%24.82%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.703.704.0028.17%27.04%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 24.68%; Salford City (Visit): 50.48%; Draw: 24.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.658%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.26%E -0.316%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.632%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.64%E -5.39%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -3.24%E -0.826%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.29%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.84%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -8.63%E -4.77%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -10.65%E -6.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -0.658%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 17:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |