La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Crawley Town v Salford City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crawley Town (Local)
Predicción 24.68%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.421%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.47%24.71%24.72%25.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Salford City (Visitante)
Predicción 50.48%1.98momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -5.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.00%50.45%50.46%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.841.831.8856.50%54.31%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.658%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.32%24.85%24.82%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.703.704.0028.17%27.04%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.26%E -0.316%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.632%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.64%E -5.39%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -3.24%E -0.826%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.29%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.84%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -8.63%E -4.77%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -10.65%E -6.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -0.658%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:00 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 17:04 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |