L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Crawley Town 0–0 Salford City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 24.68%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.421%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.47%24.71%24.72%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.48%1.98cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -5.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.00%50.45%50.46%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.841.831.8856.50%54.31%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.84%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.658%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.219%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.32%24.85%24.82%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.703.704.0028.17%27.04%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.26%E -0.316%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:05
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.632%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -9.64%E -5.39%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -3.24%E -0.826%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.29%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.84%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:00
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -8.63%E -4.77%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 12:55
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:00
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.73%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -10.65%E -6.02%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:00
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:31
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:00
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.32%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -0.658%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.13%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:06
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:00
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 16:59
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:34
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:54
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 17:04
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -6.11%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 16:59
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 17:04
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55