The School of Odds

Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Crawley Town (Local)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.1945.60%Mean
2.1746.08%Median
2.3043.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.94%2.442Min
41.88%2.388Max
41.28%2.422Mean
41.31%2.421Median
41.30%2.421IQM
41.28%2.422Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 41.30%

EV -5.00%Edge -2.17%Kelly -3.85%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Crewe Alexandra (Visit)

Odds
2.8035.71%Min
3.0033.34%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.1032.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.12%3.320Min
31.47%3.177Max
30.49%3.280Mean
30.29%3.301Median
30.32%3.298IQM
30.43%3.286Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 30.32%

EV -6.02%Edge -1.94%Kelly -2.87%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.2231.01%Mean
3.2031.25%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.54%3.631Min
28.74%3.479Max
28.23%3.542Mean
28.40%3.521Median
28.38%3.524IQM
28.28%3.536Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.38%

EV -3.51%Edge -1.03%Kelly -1.46%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCrawley Town (Local) ▼Crewe Alexandra (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48% NM 41.35%EV -5.00% E -2.17% K -3.85% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.68%EV -6.02% E -1.94% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -3.51% E -1.03% K -1.46% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 05:49
1xBet2.27I 44.05% NM 41.02%EV -6.24% E -2.75% K -4.91% G +0.000%3.08I 32.47% NM 30.23%EV -6.62% E -2.15% K -3.18% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 28.74%EV -8.06% E -2.49% K -3.60% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 08:24
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.88%EV -7.06% E -3.14% K -5.65% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.40%EV -6.02% E -1.94% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -3.51% E -1.03% K -1.46% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 41.16%EV -7.06% E -3.14% K -5.65% G +0.000%3.06I 32.68% NM 30.26%EV -7.23% E -2.36% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 28.58%EV -8.06% E -2.49% K -3.60% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-02 08:25
Bet Right2.25I 44.44% NM 40.94%EV -7.06% E -3.14% K -5.65% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.71%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV -7.77% E -2.39% K -3.45% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 05:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45% NM 41.67%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.56%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -6.35% E -1.93% K -2.76% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45% NM 41.67%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.56%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -6.35% E -1.93% K -2.76% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 06:09
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -9.13% E -4.15% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 23:39
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87% NM 41.50%EV -9.96% E -4.57% K -8.44% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 30.67%EV -10.56% E -3.58% K -5.42% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.84%EV -7.77% E -2.39% K -3.45% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-02 10:19
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08% NM 41.64%EV -10.37% E -4.78% K -8.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.05% E -3.02% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 41.07%EV -11.19% E -5.21% K -9.73% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.45%EV -12.08% E -4.17% K -6.36% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.48%EV -12.03% E -3.88% K -5.73% G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51% NM 40.99%EV -11.19% E -5.21% K -9.73% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.47%EV -15.11% E -5.40% K -8.40% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.54%EV -9.19% E -2.87% K -4.18% G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.68%EV -13.26% E -6.31% K -12.05% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -12.69% E -4.41% K -6.75% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -18.27% E -6.34% K -9.72% G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-30 05:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerCrawley Town (Local)Crewe Alexandra (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20