Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Crawley Town 0–1 Crewe Alexandra

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crawley Town (Local)

Previsão 32.13%3.11odd justa
EV -0.382%
Vantagem -0.123%
Kelly -0.182%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%32.23%32.18%34.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.852.853.1038.46%35.09%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 40.10%2.49odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.77%40.03%39.98%41.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.332.302.4044.44%42.88%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.77%3.60odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.643%
Kelly -0.898%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.82%27.74%27.84%28.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.323.303.5231.75%30.14%30.30%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Crawley Town (Local): 32.13%; Crewe Alexandra (Visitante): 40.10%; Empate: 27.77%. Para Crawley Town (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.11. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -0.382%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.382%E -0.123%K -0.182%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.07%EV -1.35%E -0.438%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -2.26%E -0.643%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.77%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:53
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:52
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.82%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:49
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.97%E -3.00%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:49
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.77%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.17%E -3.57%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -8.74%E -3.08%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -8.74%E -3.08%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.77%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.77%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:48
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -3.76%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.84%E -5.60%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -14.84%E -5.60%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 13:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -16.45%E -6.33%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-08-15 13:50