La escuela de los momios

Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV -5.15%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -3.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.52%41.19%41.26%41.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.212.202.3046.51%45.17%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -5.30%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.12%30.65%30.54%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.1035.71%33.23%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.21%3.54momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.16%28.20%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.243.253.4032.26%30.82%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:40
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:58
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 03:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 02:15
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 22:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 20:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:34
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 12:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 19:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 06:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 18:45
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 08:59
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 23:39
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-02 10:19
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.64%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.21%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%12.8%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20