Language:English
Crawley Town v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crawley Town (Local)
Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.58%39.41%39.35%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.322.302.4545.87%43.19%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%33.85%33.96%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.08%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%26.75%26.69%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.19%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 39.40%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 33.85%; Draw: 26.74%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.33%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.91%EV -8.93%E -3.32%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.76%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -9.95%E -3.74%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -9.95%E -3.74%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.26%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.26%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 12:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:02 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.29%EV -10.95%E -4.85%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -12.13%E -5.44%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.59%EV -14.10%E -6.47%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.59%EV -14.10%E -6.47%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.74% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.03% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.98% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |