Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Crawley Town v Cheltenham Town

Początek: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Crawley Town 1–3 Cheltenham Town

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Crawley Town (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.40%2.54kurs godziwy
EV -3.47%
Przewaga -1.41%
Kelly -2.39%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.58%39.41%39.35%41.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.182.322.302.4545.87%43.19%43.48%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cheltenham Town (Goście)

Prognoza 33.85%2.95kurs godziwy
EV -1.82%
Przewaga -0.629%
Kelly -0.960%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.91%33.85%33.96%36.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.08%36.36%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.74%3.74kurs godziwy
EV -3.72%
Przewaga -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.96%26.75%26.69%27.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.19%29.41%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Crawley Town (Gospodarze): 39.40%; Cheltenham Town (Goście): 33.85%; Remis: 26.74%. Dla wyniku Cheltenham Town (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.95. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.90, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.82%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.33%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.91%EV -8.93%E -3.32%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.76%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -3.47%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -9.95%E -3.74%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -5.44%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -9.95%E -3.74%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.26%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.26%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.53%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 12:28
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 12:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 08:38
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:04
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:02
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -1.82%E -0.629%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 11:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 21:39
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 11:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 10:41
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 10:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 11:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.29%EV -10.95%E -4.85%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 21:30
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:04
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:35
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 12:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -12.13%E -5.44%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.32%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.59%EV -14.10%E -6.47%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.59%EV -14.10%E -6.47%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 11:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.74%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.03%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%4.3%2026-09-09 16:50