Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crawley Town (Local)

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -0.896%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%27.16%27.12%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.483.6531.25%28.83%28.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 46.94%2.13fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.63%46.99%46.93%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.36%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.86%25.95%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.523.8029.41%28.19%28.37%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crawley Town (Local): 27.15%; Barnet (Visit): 46.94%; Draw: 25.91%. For Crawley Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.896%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.29%E -5.97%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:38
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -2.57%E -0.684%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.23%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.01%EV -7.54%E -3.83%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.20%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45