La escuela de los momios

Crawley Town v Barnet

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -0.896%
Ventaja -0.246%
Kelly -0.338%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%27.16%27.12%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.483.6531.25%28.83%28.78%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnet (Visitante)

Predicción 46.94%2.13momio equitativo
EV -5.19%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.63%46.99%46.93%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.36%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.91%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%25.86%25.95%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.553.523.8029.41%28.19%28.37%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.29%E -5.97%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:38
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -2.57%E -0.684%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.23%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.01%EV -7.54%E -3.83%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.20%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45