L’École des cotes

Crawley Town v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crawley Town (Local)

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -0.896%
Avantage -0.246%
Kelly -0.338%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%27.16%27.12%28.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.483.6531.25%28.83%28.78%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.94%2.13cote équitable
EV -5.19%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.63%46.99%46.93%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.36%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%25.86%25.95%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.553.523.8029.41%28.19%28.37%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -11.29%E -5.97%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:38
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -0.896%E -0.246%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -11.76%E -6.26%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:44
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.23%E -6.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.35%EV -2.57%E -0.684%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.17%EV -5.66%E -2.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.94%E -4.61%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:44
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.23%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.01%EV -7.54%E -3.83%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.20%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.19%E -2.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.53%E -0.404%K -0.548%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -3.06%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.07%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45