A Escola das Odds

Colchester United v Swindon Town

Início: 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Previsão 40.78%2.45odd justa
EV -4.16%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.03%40.83%40.78%43.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.252.3547.62%44.95%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Swindon Town (Visitante)

Previsão 32.35%3.09odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -0.981%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.68%32.30%32.35%33.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.55%34.72%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.86%3.72odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%26.86%26.87%27.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.90%28.57%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.55%EV -3.56%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.15%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:35
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.05%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 11:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 10:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.20%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -5.85%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:35
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:35
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 11:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 11:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 18:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.31%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.35%E -6.83%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.72%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-10 18:40