مدرسة الاحتمالات

Colchester United v Swindon Town

البداية: 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Colchester United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.78%2.45السعر العادل
EV -4.16%
الأفضلية -1.77%
Kelly -3.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.03%40.83%40.78%43.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.222.252.3547.62%44.95%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Swindon Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.35%3.09السعر العادل
EV -2.94%
الأفضلية -0.981%
Kelly -1.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.68%32.30%32.35%33.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.55%34.72%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.86%3.72السعر العادل
EV -3.29%
الأفضلية -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.79%26.86%26.87%27.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.90%28.57%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.55%EV -3.56%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.15%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:35
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.05%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 11:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 10:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.20%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -5.85%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:35
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:35
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 11:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 11:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 18:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.31%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.35%E -6.83%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.72%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-10 18:40