L’École des cotes

Colchester United v Swindon Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 40.78%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.03%40.83%40.78%43.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.252.3547.62%44.95%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.35%3.09cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.981%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.68%32.30%32.35%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.55%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.86%26.87%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.90%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.55%EV -3.56%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.15%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 18:35
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.05%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 11:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 10:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:54
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.20%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -5.85%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:35
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:35
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 11:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 11:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 18:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.31%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.35%E -6.83%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.72%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-10 18:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-10 18:40