La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Colchester United v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Colchester United (Local)
Predicción 40.78%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.03%40.83%40.78%43.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.252.3547.62%44.95%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 32.35%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.981%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.68%32.30%32.35%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.892.883.0035.71%34.55%34.72%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.86%26.87%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.503.6032.26%28.90%28.57%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.16%E -1.77%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.97%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.55%EV -3.56%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.15%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.05%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.20%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 17:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.01%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.05%EV -7.83%E -3.46%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.44%EV -7.47%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.20%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.85%EV -5.85%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 11:04 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.05%E -4.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.915%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.31%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -12.72%E -5.94%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.54%E -6.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.35%E -6.83%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.72%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |