Language:English
Colchester United v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colchester United (Local)
Prediction 55.75%1.79fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.65%55.77%57.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.77%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 19.79%5.05fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.82%19.91%19.68%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.554.605.0023.81%21.98%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%24.43%24.54%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.773.754.0330.30%26.51%26.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colchester United (Local): 55.75%; Crawley Town (Visit): 19.79%; Draw: 24.46%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -4.02%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.64%EV -1.43%E -0.355%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.93%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.73%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.95%EV -7.59%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 19:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.49%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -9.12%E -5.60%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.29%E -5.84%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.09% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |