L’École des cotes

Colchester United v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Prévision 55.75%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -4.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%55.65%55.77%57.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.77%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.79%5.05cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.264%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.82%19.91%19.68%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.554.605.0023.81%21.98%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.46%4.09cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.355%
Kelly -0.472%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%24.43%24.54%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.773.754.0330.30%26.51%26.67%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -4.02%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.64%EV -1.43%E -0.355%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:34
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.93%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.73%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 19:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:30
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 19.95%EV -7.59%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 19:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.49%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:40
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:40
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:39
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -9.12%E -5.60%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.29%E -5.84%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%2.5%2026-03-13 19:40