La escuela de los momios

Colchester United v Crawley Town

Inicio: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colchester United (Local)

Predicción 55.75%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -4.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%55.65%55.77%57.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.77%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Predicción 19.79%5.05momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.211%
Kelly -0.264%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.82%19.91%19.68%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.554.605.0023.81%21.98%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.46%4.09momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.472%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.34%24.43%24.54%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.773.754.0330.30%26.51%26.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.71%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -4.02%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.64%EV -1.43%E -0.355%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 19:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -2.05%E -0.413%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:34
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.93%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.73%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 19:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:30
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 19.95%EV -7.59%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 19:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.45%E -4.49%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.85%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.06%E -0.211%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.49%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 19:40
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:40
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -8.57%E -5.22%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:39
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -9.12%E -5.60%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.29%E -5.84%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75%0.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%2.5%2026-03-13 19:40