The School of Odds
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Chesterfield FC v York City

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.10%40.22%41.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.65%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%33.23%33.11%34.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.762.802.8838.02%36.23%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV +0.025%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.67%26.67%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.39%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chesterfield FC (Local): 40.22%; York City (Visit): 33.11%; Draw: 26.67%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.749. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.750, producing a positive expected value of +0.025%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.31%E -0.354%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.54%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.80%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -12.93%E -4.92%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:00
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.97%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.03%EV -6.64%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.09%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -12.27%E -4.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.27%E -4.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 15:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%16.7%2026-09-12 17:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00%126.9%2026-09-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00%126.9%2026-09-12 19:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62%1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00%126.9%2026-09-12 19:30