语言:简体中文
Chesterfield FC v York City
胜负盘
Chesterfield FC (主队)
预测 40.22%2.49公平赔率
EV -5.48%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -4.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
39.14%40.10%40.22%41.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.292.302.3545.45%43.65%43.48%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
York City (客队)
预测 33.11%3.02公平赔率
EV -4.65%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -2.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.88
博彩公司预测分布
32.46%33.23%33.11%34.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.762.802.8838.02%36.23%35.71%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.67%3.75公平赔率
EV +0.025%
优势 +0.007%
Kelly +0.009%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.04%26.67%26.67%27.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.533.503.7530.30%28.36%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Chesterfield FC (主队)：40.22%；York City (客队)：33.11%；平局：26.67%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.749。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.750，由此产生+0.025%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.31%E -0.354%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.54%EV -6.69%E -2.88%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.80%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.27%E -4.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -12.93%E -4.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.97%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.03%EV -6.64%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.09%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -12.27%E -4.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78% | 16.7% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00% | 126.9% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00% | 126.9% | 2026-09-12 19:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 28.62% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 42.38% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 29.00% | 126.9% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |