A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Chesterfield FC v York City

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Chesterfield FC 2–0 York City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Previsão 39.46%2.53odd justa
EV -4.90%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -3.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.36%39.38%39.49%40.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.352.4144.44%42.62%42.55%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

York City (Visitante)

Previsão 33.85%2.95odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.88%33.88%33.74%35.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.752.8538.46%36.54%36.36%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.69%3.75odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.374%
Kelly +0.508%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.41%26.75%26.77%28.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.403.8031.25%28.86%29.41%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chesterfield FC (Local): 39.46%; York City (Visitante): 33.85%; Empate: 26.69%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.75. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV +1.42%E +0.374%K +0.508%G +0.007%7.8%2026-09-18 14:04
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.25%E -0.337%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.25%E -0.337%K -0.462%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -6.48%E -2.73%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.25%E -0.337%K -0.462%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 04:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 08:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 07:55
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 07:54
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 07:59
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 08:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 04:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 04:09
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 06:00
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:30
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 08:00
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 08:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 08:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.99%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.35%EV -4.90%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.39%EV -3.87%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -7.12%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:44
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -6.24%E -2.25%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 09:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -8.06%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 09:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 07:57
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 06:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 07:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 07:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.22%E -4.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.31%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.03%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.03%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -8.61%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%2.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%2.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%2.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%2.7%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.42%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%4.0%2026-09-18 14:45