A Escola das Odds

Chesterfield FC v Tranmere Rovers

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Tranmere Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Previsão 63.82%1.57odd justa
EV -4.28%
Vantagem -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.98%63.68%63.73%65.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.32%68.73%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 13.98%7.16odd justa
EV +1.32%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.212%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.87%14.08%14.03%16.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.606.316.207.2517.86%15.85%16.13%13.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.21%4.50odd justa
EV -0.062%
Vantagem -0.014%
Kelly -0.018%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.13%22.25%22.24%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.29%24.39%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 07:44
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.25%EV +0.346%E +0.048%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:35
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.33%EV -2.03%E -0.290%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:38
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:54
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 07:45
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 07:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.50%EV -4.27%E -0.623%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:45
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -5.66%E -0.839%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:44
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:59
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 08:00
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 14:34
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:34
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.05%E -5.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.71%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-04-11 13:50