Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Chesterfield FC 1–1 Tranmere Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 63.82%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.98%63.68%63.73%65.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.32%68.73%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.98%7.16cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.183%
Kelly +0.212%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.87%14.08%14.03%16.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.606.316.207.2517.86%15.85%16.13%13.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV -0.062%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.018%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%22.25%22.24%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.29%24.39%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chesterfield FC (Local) : 63.82% ; Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur) : 13.98% ; Match nul : 22.21%. Pour Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.16. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 07:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.25%EV +0.346%E +0.048%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.33%EV -2.03%E -0.290%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:38
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 07:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.50%EV -4.27%E -0.623%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:45
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -5.66%E -0.839%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:39
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:44
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:59
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 14:34
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.05%E -5.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.71%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-04-11 13:50