La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chesterfield FC v Tranmere Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Predicción 63.82%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.98%63.68%63.73%65.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.32%68.73%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 13.98%7.16momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.87%14.08%14.03%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.316.207.2517.86%15.85%16.13%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.21%4.50momio equitativo
EV -0.062%
Ventaja -0.014%
Kelly -0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.25%22.24%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.29%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 07:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.25%EV +0.346%E +0.048%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.33%EV -2.03%E -0.290%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.50%EV -4.27%E -0.623%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -5.66%E -0.839%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 07:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 07:35 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 07:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 07:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 07:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.05%E -5.57%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 08:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.71% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |