Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chesterfield FC v Tranmere Rovers

Początek: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chesterfield FC 1–1 Tranmere Rovers

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chesterfield FC (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.82%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -4.28%
Przewaga -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.98%63.68%63.73%65.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.32%68.73%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tranmere Rovers (Goście)

Prognoza 13.98%7.16kurs godziwy
EV +1.32%
Przewaga +0.183%
Kelly +0.212%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
12.87%14.08%14.03%16.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.606.316.207.2517.86%15.85%16.13%13.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.21%4.50kurs godziwy
EV -0.062%
Przewaga -0.014%
Kelly -0.018%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.13%22.25%22.24%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.29%24.39%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chesterfield FC (Gospodarze): 63.82%; Tranmere Rovers (Goście): 13.98%; Remis: 22.21%. Dla wyniku Tranmere Rovers (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.16. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 7.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.32%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 07:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.32%E +0.183%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.25%EV +0.346%E +0.048%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.33%EV -2.03%E -0.290%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.50%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:38
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 07:45
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.17%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.50%EV -4.27%E -0.623%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.83%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:45
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -5.66%E -0.839%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:39
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.062%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:44
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 07:59
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.16%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -10.55%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.28%E -0.519%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 08:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.65%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -3.84%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 14:34
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.05%E -5.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -4.28%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -19.64%E -3.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -21.74%E -3.88%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.10%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.71%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-04-11 13:50