Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 57.64%1.74fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.23%57.65%57.59%59.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.6565.36%62.29%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%19.21%19.14%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.784.805.0022.22%20.93%20.83%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -0.721%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.15%23.26%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.904.2129.41%25.38%25.64%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 57.64%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 19.16%; Draw: 23.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.21, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.55%E -0.606%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.26%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.11%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.61%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 14:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -21.11%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-21 06:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 04:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.82%E -7.72%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |