La escuela de los momios

Chesterfield FC v Crewe Alexandra

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Predicción 57.64%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -2.97%
Kelly -7.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.23%57.65%57.59%59.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.611.6565.36%62.29%62.11%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -0.839%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.36%19.21%19.14%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.784.805.0022.22%20.93%20.83%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.26%23.15%23.26%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.943.904.2129.41%25.38%25.64%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 10:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 10:20
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 14:04
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 14:04
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:04
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 10:20
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 14:04
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 14:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:05
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.55%E -0.606%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:04
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 08:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.26%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:20
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 21:50
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.11%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:00
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.61%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:16
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:25
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:24
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 14:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 15:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:35
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -21.11%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-21 06:34
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 04:20
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.82%E -7.72%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.4%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%3.7%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%3.7%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%4.2%2026-04-24 02:05
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-04-23 23:30