Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chesterfield FC v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Previsão 57.64%1.74odd justa
EV -4.90%
Vantagem -2.97%
Kelly -7.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.23%57.65%57.59%59.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.611.6565.36%62.29%62.11%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 19.16%5.22odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -0.839%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.36%19.21%19.14%20.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.784.805.0022.22%20.93%20.83%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.20%4.31odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.550%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.26%23.15%23.26%25.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.943.904.2129.41%25.38%25.64%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chesterfield FC (Local): 57.64%; Crewe Alexandra (Visitante): 19.16%; Empate: 23.20%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.31. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.21, com valor esperado de -2.31%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.90%E -2.97%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.83%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 10:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -5.48%E -3.34%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 14:04
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:04
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 15:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 10:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 14:04
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.55%E -0.606%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:04
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 14:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 13:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.21%E -4.48%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.26%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 21:50
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.11%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 14:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.61%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 14:16
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.02%EV -8.94%E -5.66%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.19%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -9.94%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.67%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -9.51%E -6.06%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -21.11%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-21 06:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.67%E -6.88%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.19%E -0.839%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.87%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 04:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.82%E -7.72%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -9.51%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.4%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%3.7%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%3.7%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%4.2%2026-04-24 02:05
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-04-23 23:30