Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 35.70%2.80fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.57%35.96%35.73%40.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.542.602.7243.86%39.42%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 35.07%2.85fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%34.88%34.98%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.662.9540.00%37.39%37.66%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.23%3.42fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.17%29.16%29.29%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.3035.71%31.57%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 35.70%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 35.07%; Draw: 29.23%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -18.61%E -8.16%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV +3.45%E +1.17%K +1.77%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -14.32%E -5.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.89%EV -6.72%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.77%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -5.58%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -8.79%E -2.82%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 18:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |