L’École des cotes

Cheltenham Town v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cheltenham Town 1–3 Tranmere Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 35.70%2.80cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%35.96%35.73%40.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.542.602.7243.86%39.42%38.46%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.07%2.85cote équitable
EV +3.45%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%34.88%34.98%36.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.662.9540.00%37.39%37.66%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.23%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.17%29.16%29.29%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.173.203.3035.71%31.57%31.25%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -18.61%E -8.16%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV +3.45%E +1.17%K +1.77%G +0.061%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:40
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -14.32%E -5.97%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:34
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:20
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.89%EV -6.72%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.77%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:40
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -5.58%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:40
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -8.79%E -2.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:40
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:40
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:38
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:40
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-21 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-04-21 18:40
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-04-21 18:40