La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cheltenham Town v Tranmere Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Predicción 35.70%2.80momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.57%35.96%35.73%40.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.542.602.7243.86%39.42%38.46%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 35.07%2.85momio equitativo
EV +3.45%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%34.88%34.98%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.662.9540.00%37.39%37.66%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.17%29.16%29.29%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.3035.71%31.57%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -18.61%E -8.16%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV +3.45%E +1.17%K +1.77%G +0.061% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -15.04%E -6.32%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -16.11%E -6.85%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -1.81%E -0.646%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -14.32%E -5.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%EV -2.90%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.89%EV -6.72%E -2.53%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.77%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -5.58%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.04%EV -5.75%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -8.79%E -2.82%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 18:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |