Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.56%35.94%35.91%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.602.7040.82%38.71%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 35.60%2.81fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%35.68%35.64%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.552.7741.67%38.88%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%28.38%28.45%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.303.4032.26%30.64%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 35.98%; Rotherham United (Visit): 35.60%; Draw: 28.41%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.85%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.85%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -5.36%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.51%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -8.15%E -3.16%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.51%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.47%EV -1.38%E -0.499%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.81%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |