Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cheltenham Town v Rotherham United

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Cheltenham Town 2–1 Rotherham United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Previsão 35.98%2.78odd justa
EV -2.85%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.56%35.94%35.91%37.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.582.602.7040.82%38.71%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Previsão 35.60%2.81odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.499%
Kelly -0.780%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.20%35.68%35.64%38.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.552.7741.67%38.88%39.22%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.41%3.52odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -0.998%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.85%28.38%28.45%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.303.4032.26%30.64%30.30%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cheltenham Town (Local): 35.98%; Rotherham United (Visitante): 35.60%; Empate: 28.41%. Para Rotherham United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.77, com valor esperado de -1.38%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.85%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.85%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 08:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:54
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -5.36%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.51%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:54
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:47
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 08:00
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -8.15%E -3.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.51%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:54
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:34
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:49
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.92%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.55%E -6.06%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 12:09
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.99%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -7.16%E -2.78%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -6.01%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.47%EV -1.38%E -0.499%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.81%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -12.77%E -5.21%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 08:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.39%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:44
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.72%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -6.37%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -5.65%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.43%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -13.49%E -5.55%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 08:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -9.21%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-08-15 13:45