La escuela de los momios

Cheltenham Town v Rotherham United

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Predicción 31.90%3.13momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%31.85%31.85%32.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.872.883.0036.36%34.80%34.72%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Predicción 40.04%2.50momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.44%40.13%40.04%41.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.252.3746.51%43.99%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.05%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.518%
Kelly -0.725%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.02%28.10%28.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.293.303.5031.25%30.38%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 15:43
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.81%E -0.518%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 23:39
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 05:49
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.79%EV -6.53%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.40%EV -7.98%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 00:05
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.10%E -3.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -6.84%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.10%E -3.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -7.16%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -7.10%E -3.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.98%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 18:25
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 07:50
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 15:50
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 16:35
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 08:34
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:49
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.13%EV -9.10%E -4.01%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 00:05
betano_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 08:59
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 05:48
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 05:49
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 20:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 12:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -10.70%E -4.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.91%E -6.47%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 32.04%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%12.3%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19