La scuola delle quote

Cheltenham Town v Newport County

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Finale: Cheltenham Town 1–0 Newport County

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Casa)

Previsione 38.92%2.57quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.78%39.00%38.91%41.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.372.4545.45%42.61%42.19%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newport County (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.98%3.13quota equa
EV +2.35%
Vantaggio +0.734%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.40%31.82%31.97%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.902.893.2036.36%34.54%34.60%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.09%3.44quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.318%
Kelly -0.450%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.45%29.18%29.12%31.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.84%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV +2.35%E +0.734%K +1.07%G +0.025%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -2.77%E -0.911%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -11.55%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.56%EV -2.83%E -0.846%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:48
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -8.14%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.17%E -4.80%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.57%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.48%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.08%E -0.318%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -18.54%E -6.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%5.1%2026-04-18 14:00