Die Schule der Quoten

Cheltenham Town v Newport County

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Endstand: Cheltenham Town 1–0 Newport County

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Heim)

Prognose 38.92%2.57faire Quote
EV -4.64%
Vorteil -1.89%
Kelly -3.20%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.78%39.00%38.91%41.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.352.372.4545.45%42.61%42.19%40.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Newport County (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.98%3.13faire Quote
EV +2.35%
Vorteil +0.734%
Kelly +1.07%
Wachstum +0.025%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.40%31.82%31.97%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.902.893.2036.36%34.54%34.60%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.09%3.44faire Quote
EV -1.08%
Vorteil -0.318%
Kelly -0.450%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.45%29.18%29.12%31.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.84%31.75%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV +2.35%E +0.734%K +1.07%G +0.025%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -2.77%E -0.911%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -11.55%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.56%EV -2.83%E -0.846%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:48
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -8.14%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.17%E -4.80%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.57%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.48%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.08%E -0.318%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -18.54%E -6.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%5.1%2026-04-18 14:00