مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cheltenham Town v Newport County

البداية: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cheltenham Town 1–0 Newport County

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cheltenham Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.92%2.57السعر العادل
EV -4.64%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -3.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.78%39.00%38.91%41.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.352.372.4545.45%42.61%42.19%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Newport County (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.98%3.13السعر العادل
EV +2.35%
الأفضلية +0.734%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.40%31.82%31.97%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.902.893.2036.36%34.54%34.60%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.09%3.44السعر العادل
EV -1.08%
الأفضلية -0.318%
Kelly -0.450%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.45%29.18%29.12%31.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.84%31.75%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV +2.35%E +0.734%K +1.07%G +0.025%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -2.77%E -0.911%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -11.55%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.56%EV -2.83%E -0.846%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:48
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -8.14%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.17%E -4.80%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.57%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.48%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:00
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.08%E -0.318%K -0.450%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -18.54%E -6.62%K -10.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%2.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%5.1%2026-04-18 14:00