L’École des cotesFrançais
Cheltenham Town v Newport County
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prévision 38.92%2.57cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.78%39.00%38.91%41.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.372.4545.45%42.61%42.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Newport County (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.98%3.13cote équitable
EV +2.35%
Avantage +0.734%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.40%31.82%31.97%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.893.2036.36%34.54%34.60%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.09%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.450%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.45%29.18%29.12%31.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.84%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV +2.35%E +0.734%K +1.07%G +0.025% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -2.77%E -0.911%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -11.55%E -3.80%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.56%EV -2.83%E -0.846%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -8.14%E -3.45%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.65%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.17%E -4.80%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -13.20%E -5.92%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.07%EV -7.57%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -7.48%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -14.37%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.44%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.35%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -11.26%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.08%E -0.318%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.90%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.30%EV -7.75%E -3.27%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.37%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -18.54%E -6.62%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.81%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.61% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |