Language:English
Cheltenham Town v Barrow
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cheltenham Town (Local)
Prediction 41.93%2.39fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.07%41.94%41.93%43.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.162.152.2548.54%46.24%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barrow (Visit)
Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%29.67%29.60%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.2334.48%32.51%32.26%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.39%28.47%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 41.93%; Barrow (Visit): 29.68%; Draw: 28.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.63%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.23%EV -8.88%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.78%EV -5.17%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.21%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.20%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.47%EV -6.80%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:32 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.34%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -13.33%E -4.57%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 19:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-06 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -13.21%E -6.38%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.51%EV -13.63%E -6.62%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05% | 1.8% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |