مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cheltenham Town v Barrow

البداية: 2026-03-06 19:47 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cheltenham Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.93%2.39السعر العادل
EV -5.66%
الأفضلية -2.52%
Kelly -4.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.07%41.94%41.93%43.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.062.162.152.2548.54%46.24%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barrow (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.68%3.37السعر العادل
EV -4.13%
الأفضلية -1.28%
Kelly -1.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.38%29.67%29.60%30.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.083.103.2334.48%32.51%32.26%30.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.39%3.52السعر العادل
EV -3.47%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.46%28.39%28.47%30.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:45
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.63%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.23%EV -8.88%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.78%EV -5.17%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.21%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.20%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:44
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.47%EV -6.80%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 19:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:44
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:32
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:44
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:44
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:44
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 19:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.34%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -13.33%E -4.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 19:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:45
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-06 19:44
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -13.21%E -6.38%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.51%EV -13.63%E -6.62%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-06 19:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-06 19:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.0%2026-03-06 19:45