A Escola das Odds

Cheltenham Town v Barrow

Início: 2026-03-06 19:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Previsão 41.93%2.39odd justa
EV -5.66%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -4.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.07%41.94%41.93%43.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.062.162.152.2548.54%46.24%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barrow (Visitante)

Previsão 29.68%3.37odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.38%29.67%29.60%30.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.083.103.2334.48%32.51%32.26%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.39%3.52odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.46%28.39%28.47%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.89%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.66%E -2.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:45
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 42.25%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.63%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.23%EV -8.88%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.78%EV -5.17%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.21%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.20%EV -7.34%E -3.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:44
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.89%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.47%EV -6.80%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 19:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:44
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:32
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -9.02%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:44
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:44
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 19:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:44
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 19:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.34%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -13.33%E -4.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 19:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.86%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -11.11%E -5.24%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -6.31%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:45
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.47%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.23%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-06 19:44
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.67%EV -12.79%E -6.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 19:45
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 42.79%EV -13.21%E -6.38%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.51%EV -13.63%E -6.62%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.57%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-06 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-06 19:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.0%2026-03-06 19:45