Language:English
Cambridge United v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cambridge United (Local)
Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%39.36%39.35%40.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.47%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.158%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%30.18%30.23%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.91%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%30.46%30.41%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.043.103.1637.04%32.86%32.26%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 39.40%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 30.19%; Draw: 30.40%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.364%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.70%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.74%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -0.364%E -0.110%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.58%E -3.70%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.46%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.91%E -6.63%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |