La escuela de los momios

Cambridge United v Milton Keynes Dons

Inicio: 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Predicción 39.40%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -0.992%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%39.36%39.35%40.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.47%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 30.19%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.364%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.89%30.18%30.23%32.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.91%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.40%3.29momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.17%30.46%30.41%32.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.043.103.1637.04%32.86%32.26%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 12:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 12:19
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:19
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.70%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.74%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -0.364%E -0.110%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.58%E -3.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:19
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.46%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.91%E -6.63%K -10.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 17:34
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 17:34
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-02-28 12:20