L’École des cotes

Cambridge United v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Prévision 39.40%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -0.992%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.36%39.35%40.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.47%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.19%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.364%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.158%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.89%30.18%30.23%32.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.91%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.40%3.29cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%30.46%30.41%32.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.043.103.1637.04%32.86%32.26%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 12:05
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.49%E -0.595%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:05
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.85%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.59%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 12:19
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:19
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 12:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.70%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -6.61%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.74%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -0.364%E -0.110%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -4.54%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.79%E -3.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.58%E -3.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:19
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.46%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.91%E -6.63%K -10.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.45%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 17:34
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 17:34
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-02-28 12:20