Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Grimsby Town

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.77%49.92%50.14%51.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.851.9156.82%54.42%54.20%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visit)

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.64%22.85%22.78%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.094.204.3326.32%24.43%23.81%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.23%27.08%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.5533.33%29.48%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 49.93%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 22.84%; Draw: 27.23%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -4.63%E -2.43%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:45
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.13%E -2.70%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -5.63%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:25
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.06%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.13%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -6.63%E -3.55%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -1.09%E -0.251%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:33
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.63%E -4.12%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.41%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -8.13%E -4.42%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.63%E -4.71%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.13%E -5.01%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:24
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.62%E -5.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -12.12%E -6.89%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-21 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-21 18:30